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Tomelloso vs Mora CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomelloso in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomelloso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tomelloso
15%
Draws
28%
Mora CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomelloso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mora CF lately — more wins on the board than Tomelloso.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 68%
Mora CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomelloso Mora CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.72 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Mora CF
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Tomelloso
1:0
Mar 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Tomelloso
2:0
Aug 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Mora CF
1:1
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Tomelloso
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomelloso 41 / 100
Mora CF 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomelloso Mora CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomelloso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mora CF let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mora CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tomelloso scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomelloso VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomelloso

(Home)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
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Mora CF

(Away)
17 Nov
San Agustin
6 : 2
Mora CF
19 May
Toledo
2 : 1
Mora CF
12 May
Mora CF
2 : 1
CD Tarancon
05 May
La Solana
1 : 0
Mora CF
27 Apr
Mora CF
0 : 1
Marchamalo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socuellamos 38 28 7 3 83:16 91
2 Villarrubia 38 23 6 9 61:37 75
3 Villarrobledo 38 23 6 9 68:42 75
4 Toledo 38 22 4 12 68:43 70
5 Albacete B 38 17 12 9 64:43 63
6 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 15 13 10 39:31 58
7 La Roda 38 15 10 13 41:40 55
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 6 17 49:59 51
9 Puertollano C.F. 38 14 9 15 43:47 51
10 Azuqueca 38 14 8 16 57:55 50
11 Madridejos 38 14 7 17 39:40 49
12 Atletico Ibanes 38 13 6 19 55:58 45
13 La Solana 38 12 9 17 38:55 45
14 CD Tarancon 38 13 5 20 56:74 44
15 Guadalajara 38 13 4 21 45:67 43
16 Almagro 38 11 10 17 40:51 43
17 Villacanas 38 11 9 18 39:56 42
18 Tomelloso 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
19 Marchamalo 38 10 7 21 33:65 37
20 Mora CF 38 9 8 21 27:50 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)