Sport Picks
Tomelloso vs Quintanar del Rey Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 
Match Events
81'
81'
Sevilla D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Tomelloso and Quintanar del Rey finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomelloso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomelloso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Quintanar del Rey come out ahead of Tomelloso on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 18%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomelloso | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
4:1
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Quintanar del Rey
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
1:2
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Quintanar del Rey
2:4
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomelloso Compare
Top Goalscorer Sevilla D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Quintanar del Rey Compare
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomelloso 32 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomelloso Quintanar del Rey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Quintanar del Rey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Defensive concern: Quintanar del Rey conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Tomelloso scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Tomelloso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Quintanar del Rey
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomelloso
(Home) 12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0 Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1 Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
07 Apr
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Toledo
24 Mar
Tomelloso
0 : 3 Villarrubia
Page 1 of 3
Quintanar del Rey
(Away) 27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4 Toledo
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
19 Apr
CF Intercity
1 : 2 Quintanar del Rey
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 57:18 | 73 |
| 2 | Cazalegas | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 48:35 | 59 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 47:25 | 58 |
| 4 | Socuellamos | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 48:28 | 58 |
| 5 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 46:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 55 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 38:31 | 47 |
| 9 | Albacete B | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:49 | 46 |
| 10 | Azuqueca | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:46 | 41 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:36 | 41 |
| 12 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 28:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 27:38 | 39 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 35:47 | 39 |
| 15 | La Solana | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Torrijos | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:45 | 28 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24:55 | 26 |
| 18 | San Clemente | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 28:66 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
