Sport Picks

Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024

Tomori Berat

1 - 4

Besa Kavaje

Our Tip

Match Events

Ba M.

14'

Spahiu E.

62'

Oshafi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Besa Kavaje in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besa Kavaje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tomori Berat

Draws

90%

Besa Kavaje

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Besa Kavaje lately — more wins on the board than Tomori Berat.
Besa Kavaje are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 20%

Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tomori Berat	Besa Kavaje
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	14
Draws	2	6
Losses	25	12
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Besa Kavaje

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Feb 3, 2024 Kategoria e Parë

Besa Kavaje vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Oct 22, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Besa Kavaje

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Feb 5, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Besa Kavaje

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

3:3

Sep 3, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Besa Kavaje vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshafi A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Spahiu E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 10 / 100

Besa Kavaje 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tomori Berat Besa Kavaje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Besa Kavaje let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Tomori Berat found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Tomori Berat remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Besa Kavaje

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AF Elbasani	33	24	7	2	76:32	79
2	Bylis	33	22	5	6	55:31	71
3	Flamurtari	33	16	10	7	46:29	58
4	Vora	33	15	5	13	61:50	50
5	Apolonia Fier	33	12	10	11	44:31	46
6	Korabi Peshkopi	33	12	8	13	42:38	44
7	Kastrioti	33	10	10	13	43:47	40
8	Burreli	33	12	4	17	28:43	40
9	Lushnja	33	10	8	15	38:53	38
10	Besa Kavaje	33	10	8	15	34:47	38
11	Luzi	33	9	4	20	41:56	31
12	Tomori Berat	33	4	5	24	21:72	17