Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Ismailaj L.
85'
85'
Ayinde J.
90'
90'
Tabaku S.
AI Match Summary
Lushnja in this Albanian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tomori Berat haven't matched Lushnja's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lushnja a 49% chance of winning this.
- Lushnja arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lushnja, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 25%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomori Berat | Lushnja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 25 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja
0:2
Jan 20, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Tomori Berat
2:2
Dec 6, 2023 Albanian Cup
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja
0:3
Oct 1, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Tomori Berat
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomori Berat Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Lushnja Compare
Top Goalscorer Ismailaj L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ayinde J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
Lushnja 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomori Berat Lushnja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lushnja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lushnja let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Difficult form: Lushnja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tomori Berat found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomori Berat
(Home) 18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0 Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
: Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2 Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2 Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0 Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2 Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2 Lushnja
28 Apr
Tomori Berat
0 : 3 Kastrioti
13 Apr
Tomori Berat
1 : 0 Burreli
31 Mar
Tomori Berat
1 : 4 Besa Kavaje
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Lushnja
(Away) 03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0 Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0 Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1 Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 8
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0 Lushnja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0 Lushnja
21 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 0 Lushnja
18 Mar
Kukesi
3 : 2 Lushnja
07 Mar
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 0 Lushnja
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti 3
Shkumbini Peqin 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 4
Kucove 0
Luzi 3
Butrinti Sarande 2
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 3
Delvina 0
Turbina Cerrik 4
Koplik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KS Devolli 0
Besa Kavaje 3
Sopoti Librazhd 2
Laci -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City 3
Iliria Kruja 0
KF Oriku 2
Pogradeci 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 1
Shenkolli 0
Lushnja 3
Laberia FC 0
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis 4
Murlani 1
Terbuni Puka 2
Vora 4
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
AF Luftetari 0
Burreli 2
KF Valbona 1
1/16-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
Kastrioti 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 2
Luzi 1
Teuta -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Turbina Cerrik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Besa Kavaje 2
Laci -
TBD -
Dinamo City 2
KF Oriku 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 0
Lushnja 3
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
Bylis 3
Vora 2
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
Burreli 0
1/8-finals
Kukesi 1
AF Elbasani 0
Partizani 3
Apolonia Fier 1
Teuta 2
Skenderbeu Korca 0
KF Tirana 3
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Laci 1
Dinamo City 0
KF Egnatia 2
Lushnja 0
Erzeni Shijak 2
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 4
Flamurtari 0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi 2
Partizani 1
Teuta 1
KF Tirana 2
Laci 1
KF Egnatia 4
Erzeni Shijak 3
Vllaznia 7
Semi-finals
Kukesi 2
KF Tirana 1
KF Egnatia 2
Vllaznia 1
Final
Kukesi 0
KF Egnatia 1
