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Tomsk vs Vardar Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stavpets A.

AI Match Summary

Tomsk in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tomsk
30%
Draws
43%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vardar have won more games recently than Tomsk.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Vardar taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tomsk Clean Sheet 16%
Vardar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomsk Vardar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2022 Club Friendly
Tomsk vs Vardar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Stavpets A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Vardar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomsk 10 / 100
Vardar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomsk Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomsk scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Tomsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vardar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomsk

(Home)
21 May
Tomsk
2 : 2
M. Lipetsk
15 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 3
Tomsk
07 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Tomsk
30 Apr
Olimp-Dolgoprudny
1 : 0
Tomsk
23 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0
Tekstilshtik
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Vardar

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
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