Sport Picks
Tonbridge vs Folkestone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
77'
77'
Baker F.
90'
90'
Baker F.
AI Match Summary
Tonbridge in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tonbridge have won more games recently than Folkestone.
- Tonbridge are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Folkestone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Folkestone
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Folkestone
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Folkestone
0:0
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Folkestone vs Tonbridge
0:1
Jul 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Folkestone vs Tonbridge
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Folkestone Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 49 / 100
Folkestone 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Folkestone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tonbridge scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Folkestone has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Tonbridge remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Folkestone
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Torquay
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1 Ramsgate
Page 1 of 4
Folkestone
(Away) 27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0 Farnborough
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1 AFC Totton
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Folkestone
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0 Folkestone
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Folkestone
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0 Folkestone
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0 Folkestone
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
