Sport Picks
Match Events
79'
79'
Leahy T.
AI Match Summary
Maidstone in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maidstone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maidstone lately — more wins on the board than Tonbridge.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 15%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Maidstone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Maidstone
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Maidstone
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Tonbridge
1:2
Apr 21, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Tonbridge
1:1
Dec 26, 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Maidstone
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Maidstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Leahy T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 30 / 100
Maidstone 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Maidstone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tonbridge found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Maidstone has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Tonbridge went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Maidstone
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
22 Aug
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Truro
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 4
Maidstone
(Away) 12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
05 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
31 Aug
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 4 Maidstone
29 Aug
Maidstone
2 : 1 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
31 Aug
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 4 Maidstone
22 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 3 Maidstone
15 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Maidstone
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
