Sport Picks
Match Events
79'
79'
Leahy T.
AI Match Summary
Maidstone in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maidstone lately — more wins on the board than Tonbridge.
- Tonbridge are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Maidstone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Maidstone
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Maidstone
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Tonbridge
1:2
Apr 21, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Tonbridge
1:1
Dec 26, 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Maidstone
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Maidstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Leahy T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 40 / 100
Maidstone 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Maidstone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tonbridge found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Maidstone has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Tonbridge went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Maidstone
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 4
Maidstone
(Away) 31 Oct
Maidstone
2 : 1 Slough Town
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
24 Oct
Torquay
1 : 1 Maidstone
17 Oct
Maidstone
2 : 1 Maidenhead
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2 Maidstone
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Torquay
1 : 1 Maidstone
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2 Maidstone
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1 Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
