Sport Picks

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Tonbridge vs Margate

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ababio J.
29' Event
Trialist
37' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Tonbridge and Margate finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tonbridge
17%
Draws
13%
Margate
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tonbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Tonbridge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tonbridge's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tonbridge have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Margate Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonbridge Margate
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Margate vs Tonbridge
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Margate
2:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Margate
1:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Margate vs Tonbridge
1:3
Feb 9, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Tonbridge vs Margate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Margate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ababio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 67 / 100
Margate 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonbridge Margate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Margate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tonbridge scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tonbridge has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Margate
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

(Home)
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2
Sittingbourne
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2
Sutton
11 Jul
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Biggleswade FC
25 Apr
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Torquay
18 Apr
Farnborough
1 : 6
Tonbridge
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Margate

(Away)
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
06 Sept
Westfield
4 : 2
Margate
02 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 1
Margate
05 Jul
Margate
2 : 3
Tonbridge
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