Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2024/2025

Tonbridge

2 - 1

Merstham

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tonbridge in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Tonbridge

35%

Draws

13%

Merstham

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tonbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Tonbridge lately — more wins on the board than Merstham.
Model gives Tonbridge a 52% chance of winning this.
Tonbridge have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tonbridge, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Tonbridge here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Tonbridge Clean Sheet 20%

Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tonbridge	Merstham
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	5
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	22
Goals Scored	1.8	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.17	2.43
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup

Tonbridge vs Merstham

2:1

May 6, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division

Tonbridge vs Merstham

2:0

Feb 23, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division

Tonbridge vs Merstham

0:1

Aug 11, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division

Merstham vs Tonbridge

0:3

Feb 17, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division

Merstham vs Tonbridge

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 85 / 100

Merstham 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tonbridge Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonbridge's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Merstham conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tonbridge stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Merstham

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

(Home)

12 Sept

Hemel Hempstead

1 : 1

Tonbridge

08 Sept

Tonbridge

0 : 1

Maidstone

05 Sept

Farnborough

0 : 4

Tonbridge

31 Aug

Tonbridge

5 : 1

Walton & Hersham

29 Aug

Billericay

2 : 2

Tonbridge

Page 1 of 6

Merstham

(Away)

29 Aug

Peacehaven & Telscombe

2 : 1

Merstham

06 Sept

Kingstonian

1 : 0

Merstham

02 Aug

Merstham

1 : 4

Carshalton

12 Jul

Bedfont Sports

0 : 0

Merstham

05 Jul

Walton & Hersham

0 : 0

Merstham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Rushall -

TBD -

Sheffield FC 5

Pontefract Collieries 0

Mickleover 5

Coleshill Town 0

Anstey Nomads 3

Alvechurch 1

Aveley -

TBD -

Royston Town 4

Bedford 1

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Tamworth -

TBD -

Tadcaster Albion 0

Macclesfield 3

TBD -

South Shields -

Crook Town 2

Ashington 1

Witton Albion 3

City Of Liverpool 2

Oldham -

TBD -

Halifax -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Truro -

TBD -

Brackley -

Ramsgate 3

Folkestone 1

Broadbridge Heath 3

Faversham 1

Newcastle Benfield 2

Prescot Cables 1

Whitchurch Alport 2

Wythenshawe Town 3

Farsley -

TBD -

Newcastle Blue Star 2

Hallam 3

Harpenden Town 2

St Ives Town 5

Hitchin 0

Berkhamsted Town 2

Kettering 2

Stafford 1

Malvern Town 0

Cleethorpes 1

Altrincham -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Bamber Bridge 2

Newton Aycliffe 3

Warrington Rylands 4

Thackley 0

Birtley Town 1

Dunston 5

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Stockton 1

Widnes FC 0

TBD -

Marine -

Chester -

TBD -

Workington 0

Hebburn Town 1

Basildon 0

Biggleswade FC 1

AFC Dunstable 1

Sudbury 0

Canvey Island 2

Milton Keynes Irish 1

Felixstowe & Walton 5

Leverstock Green 1

TBD -

York City -

Harborough 3

Darlaston Town (1874) 2

Dudley 0

Stourbridge 5

Leamington -

TBD -

Carlton Town 1

Stamford 0

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Campion 2

Blyth Spartans 4

Garforth 0

Bury FC 2

Southport -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Hyde 4

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Lancaster 0

Barnoldswick Town 1

Stratford 2

Worksop 3

Basford Utd. 6

Sporting Khalsa 1

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Great Yarmouth Town 1

Cheshunt 2

West Didsbury & Chorlton 4

Silsden 2

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Gainsborough 2

Telford 1

Grantham Town 1

Newark and Sherwood 0

TBD -

Boston United -

Wellingborough 0

Shifnal Town 2

Redditch 3

Halesowen 2

Barton Town 0

Rugby 1

Melton Town 1

Hednesford 6

TBD -

Gateshead -

Billericay 1

Bowers & Pitsea 2

Harleston Town 2

Biggleswade Town 4

Spalding United 1

Matlock 0

TBD -

Alfreton -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Morpeth 1

AFC Emley 0

Mossley AFC 6

Whitby 5

TBD -

Chorley -

Buxton -

TBD -

Barwell 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Leek Town 2

Ashby Ivanhoe 0

Guiseley 3

Ashton United 0

1874 Northwich 3

Stocksbridge 2

Newcastle Town 2

Long Eaton 1

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Swindon Supermarine 1

Poole Town 3

Taunton Town 3

Didcot 0

Burgess Hill 2

Croydon Athletic 1

Athletic Newham FC 3

Amersham Town 4

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Aylesbury Vale 0

Bognor Regis 3

Margate 3

Hayes & Yeading 1

Horsham FC 4

Virginia Water 0

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Gorleston 1

Walthamstow FC 0

Neots 4

Barking 5

Needham Market -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Fleet Town 2

AFC Stoneham 4

TBD -

Salisbury -

Bath City -

TBD -

Merthyr Town 3

Cribbs 2

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Southend -

Sheppey United 1

Hanwell Town 7

Chertsey Town 3

Raynes Park Vale 2

Ashford United 6

Three Bridges 1

Punjab United 0

Corinthian 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Easington Sports 2

Frome Town 3

Barnstaple Town 1

Larkhall 2

Carshalton 3

Haywards Heath 1

Bracknell Town 0

South Park 1

Bideford 0

Melksham 1

Banbury 2

Dorchester 0

Brightlingsea 2

Haringey Borough 3

FC Witham Town 1

Sheringham 0

Lowestoft 6

Potters 2

Newmarket 2

Ipswich Wanderers 1

Hartpury University 0

Nailsea & Tickenham 2

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

Tiverton 0

Wimborne 3

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Willand Rovers 1

Brixham 0

Gosport Borough 4

Andover New Street 0

Gloucester City 2

Paulton Rovers 0

Enfield FC 0

Brentwood 5

Leiston 4

Waltham Abbey 1

Hornchurch -

TBD -

Hashtag 2

Stotfold 0

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Barnet -

TBD -

Tilbury 4

Brantham 3

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Belper Town 3

Bromsgrove 4

Bottesford Town 1

Loughborough Students 0

Bishops Cleeve 3

Laverstock & Ford 2

TBD -

Torquay -

Badshot Lea 1

Cray Valley 3

TBD -

Chesham -

TBD -

Yeovil -

Larkfield & New Hythe FC 1

Cray Wanderers 9

Thame United 0

Wingate & Finchley 4

Hastings 3

Redhill 1

Harefield United 2

Lewes 1

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Steyning Town 1

Merstham 2

Hanworth Villa 5

Walton & Hersham 7

TBD -

Farnborough -

Woking -

TBD -

Welling -

TBD -

Westfield 0

Chatham 2

Kingstonian 1

Chichester City 4

TBD -

Slough Town -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Tavistock 0

Winchester City 1

Hungerford 1

Yate 0

Basingstoke 1

Sholing 3

TBD -

Weymouth -

Ashford Town 0

Herne Bay 2

Hendon 3

Whitehawk 0

Maidstone -

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Lordswood 3

Binfield 1

Sittingbourne 3

Dover Ath. 2

Plymouth Parkway 4

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Westbury United 3

AFC Totton 1

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Havant & Waterlooville 3

Wallingford & Crowmarsh 0

Dartford 6

Marlow 2

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Leatherhead 3

Braintree -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Stortford 5

Cornard United 0

Hereford -

TBD -

Heanor Town 0

Ilkeston 1

Quarter-finals

Rushall 5

Sheffield FC 0

Mickleover 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Aveley 1

Royston Town 2

Enfield Town 0

Peterborough Sports 1

Tamworth -

TBD -

Macclesfield 5

South Shields 0

Crook Town 1

Witton Albion 2

Oldham -

TBD -

Halifax -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Truro 0

Brackley 2

Ramsgate 1

Broadbridge Heath 0

Newcastle Benfield 0

Wythenshawe Town 1

Farsley 3

Hallam 1

St Ives Town 5

Berkhamsted Town 0

Kettering 1

Cleethorpes 0

Altrincham -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Newton Aycliffe 2

Warrington Rylands 4

Dunston 3

Scarborough Athletic 6

Stockton 3

Marine 2

Chester 3

Hebburn Town 0

Biggleswade FC 2

AFC Dunstable 1

Canvey Island 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

TBD -

York City -

Harborough 4

Stourbridge 2

Leamington 1

Carlton Town 0

Warrington Town 1

Radcliffe 2

Blyth Spartans 0

Bury FC 3

Southport 2

Hyde 1

Curzon Ashton 6

Barnoldswick Town 0

Worksop 6

Basford Utd. 3

King’s Lynn 1

Cheshunt 0

West Didsbury & Chorlton 1

Darlington FC 2

Gainsborough 2

Grantham Town 1

TBD -

Boston United -

Shifnal Town 2

Redditch 1

Rugby 3

Hednesford 6

TBD -

Gateshead -

Bowers & Pitsea 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Spalding United 1

Alfreton 2

Spennymoor 3

Morpeth 1

Mossley AFC 0

Chorley 3

Buxton 4

Barwell 3

Kidderminster 2

Leek Town 1

Guiseley 3

1874 Northwich 0

Newcastle Town 1

Scunthorpe 6

Poole Town 2

Taunton Town 3

Burgess Hill 2

Amersham Town 3

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Bognor Regis 0

Margate 4

Horsham FC 1

Dorking Wanderers 0

Gorleston 3

Barking 2

Needham Market 0

St. Albans 3

Aldershot -

TBD -

AFC Stoneham 1

Salisbury 7

Bath City 2

Merthyr Town 1

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Southend -

Hanwell Town 0

Chertsey Town 2

Ashford United 3

Corinthian 0

TBD -

Sutton -

Eastbourne Borough 0

Boreham Wood 1

Frome Town 0

Larkhall 1

Carshalton 1

South Park 0

Melksham 4

Banbury 3

Haringey Borough 3

FC Witham Town 2

Lowestoft 5

Newmarket 2

Nailsea & Tickenham 1

Chippenham Town 6

Wimborne 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Oxford City 6

Willand Rovers 0

Gosport Borough 4

Gloucester City 2

Brentwood 3

Leiston 5

Hornchurch 2

Hashtag 1

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Barnet -

TBD -

Tilbury 0

Chelmsford 2

Bromsgrove 2

Bottesford Town 0

Bishops Cleeve 3

Torquay 0

Cray Valley 0

Chesham 2

TBD -

Yeovil -

Cray Wanderers 2

Wingate & Finchley 1

Hastings 1

Harefield United 0

Tonbridge 2

Merstham 1

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

Woking -

TBD -

Welling 0

Chatham 1

Chichester City 3

Slough Town 4

Forest Green -

TBD -

Winchester City 2

Hungerford 1

Sholing 1

Weymouth 4

Herne Bay 3

Hendon 0

Maidstone 2

Hampton & Richmond 1

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Lordswood 0

Sittingbourne 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Westbury United 3

Worthing FC 3

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Dartford 2

Leatherhead 0

Braintree -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead 0

Stortford 1

Hereford 2

Ilkeston 1

Semi-finals

Rushall 2

Anstey Nomads 1

Royston Town 0

Peterborough Sports 1

Tamworth -

TBD -

Macclesfield 6

Witton Albion 1

Oldham -

TBD -

Halifax -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Brackley 4

Ramsgate 1

Wythenshawe Town 0

Farsley 1

St Ives Town 0

Kettering 3

Altrincham -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Warrington Rylands 0

Scarborough Athletic 2

Stockton 1

Chester 2

Biggleswade FC 1

Canvey Island 0

TBD -

York City -

Harborough 1

Leamington 0

Radcliffe 2

Bury FC 3

Southport 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Worksop 1

King’s Lynn 2

Darlington FC 1

Gainsborough 2

TBD -

Boston United -

Shifnal Town 0

Hednesford 1

TBD -

Gateshead -

Biggleswade Town 0

Alfreton 6

Spennymoor 1

Chorley 0

Buxton 1

Kidderminster 3

Guiseley 1

Scunthorpe 0

Taunton Town 2

Amersham Town 1

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Margate 1

Horsham FC 3

Gorleston 4

St. Albans 2

Aldershot -

TBD -

Salisbury 1

Bath City 2

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Southend -

Chertsey Town 3

Ashford United 2

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood 2

Larkhall 1

Carshalton 3

Melksham 2

Haringey Borough 4

Lowestoft 6

Chippenham Town 1

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Oxford City 2

Gosport Borough 3

Leiston 4

Hornchurch 2

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Barnet -

TBD -

Chelmsford 2

Bromsgrove 1

Bishops Cleeve 0

Chesham 4

TBD -

Yeovil -

Cray Wanderers 3

Hastings 0

Tonbridge 2

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking -

TBD -

Chatham 0

Slough Town 3

Forest Green -

TBD -

Winchester City 2

Weymouth 5

Herne Bay 0

Maidstone 1

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Sittingbourne 0

Plymouth Parkway 3

Worthing FC 3

Dartford 1

Braintree -

TBD -

Stortford 3

Hereford 2

Final

Rushall 2

Peterborough Sports 1

Tamworth 4

Macclesfield 2

Oldham 4

Halifax 2

Hartlepool 2

Brackley 4

Farsley 1

Kettering 2

Altrincham 3

Solihull Moors 4

AFC Fylde 1

Rochdale 4

Scarborough Athletic 3

Chester 1

Biggleswade FC 1

York City 3

Harborough 1

Bury FC 0

Curzon Ashton 1

King’s Lynn 0

Gainsborough 6

Boston United 2

Hednesford 4

Gateshead 2

Alfreton 1

Spennymoor 0

Kidderminster 0

Guiseley 1

Taunton Town 1

Maidenhead 4

Horsham FC 1

Gorleston 0

Aldershot 2

Bath City 1

Eastleigh 0

Southend 1

Chertsey Town 1

Sutton 3

Boreham Wood 4

Carshalton 0

Lowestoft 1

Weston-super-Mare 3

Wealdstone 4

Gosport Borough 1

Leiston 1

Dagenham & Red. 5

Barnet 4

Chelmsford 0

Chesham 1

Yeovil 0

Cray Wanderers 0

Tonbridge 1

Woking 2

Slough Town 1

Forest Green 2

Weymouth 0

Maidstone 3

Ebbsfleet 0

Plymouth Parkway 0

Worthing FC 4

Braintree 1

Stortford 0

Tonbridge vs Merstham

England

Tonbridge

Merstham

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

Merstham

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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