Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Akehurst B.
16'
16'
Alonge J.
28'
28'
Ogunleye M. S.
AI Match Summary
Salisbury in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salisbury.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salisbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Salisbury have won more games recently than Tonbridge.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 12%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Salisbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Salisbury
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Salisbury
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Salisbury vs Tonbridge
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 National League South
Salisbury vs Tonbridge
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Salisbury
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Akehurst B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Salisbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonge J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ogunleye M. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 35 / 100
Salisbury 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Salisbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salisbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tonbridge scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Salisbury let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tonbridge stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Salisbury
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 4
Salisbury
(Away) 31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2 Salisbury
24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
17 Oct
Salisbury
3 : 0 Eastbourne Borough
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2 Salisbury
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2 Salisbury
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 29:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 6 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 31:21 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16:33 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
