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Tonbridge vs Sutton Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Carter C.
48' Event
Folarin S.
85' Event
Trialist
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tonbridge
30%
Draws
29%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tonbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tonbridge lately — more wins on the board than Sutton.
  • Model gives Tonbridge a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sutton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonbridge Sutton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Sutton
0:2
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Sutton
0:4
Jul 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Sutton
1:2
Aug 2, 2016 Club Friendly
Sutton vs Tonbridge
3:1
Dec 14, 2013 National League South
Sutton vs Tonbridge
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Folarin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 76 / 100
Sutton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonbridge Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tonbridge found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Sutton let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Tonbridge remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Sutton
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

(Home)
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4
Tonbridge
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Sutton

(Away)
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
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