Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Jenkins K.
66'
66'
Sutcliffe E.
83'
83'
Jay M.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Tonbridge and Torquay finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torquay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Tonbridge haven't matched Torquay's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Torquay have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 16%
Torquay Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Torquay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 FA Cup
Tonbridge vs Torquay
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Torquay vs Tonbridge
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutcliffe E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Torquay Compare
Top Goalscorer Jenkins K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jay M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 31 / 100
Torquay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Torquay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tonbridge scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Torquay has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Tonbridge remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Torquay
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 4
Torquay
(Away) 31 Oct
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Torquay
27 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Torquay
24 Oct
Torquay
1 : 1 Maidstone
17 Oct
Torquay
0 : 1 Oxford City
10 Oct
Torquay
5 : 1 Slough Town
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Torquay
27 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Torquay
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Torquay
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0 Torquay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
