Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Jenkins K.
66'
66'
Sutcliffe E.
83'
83'
Jay M.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Tonbridge and Torquay finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torquay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Tonbridge have managed 1.69 goals a game lately — Torquay are scoring more at 1.81.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 12%
Torquay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Torquay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Torquay vs Tonbridge
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 National League South
Torquay vs Tonbridge
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutcliffe E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Torquay Compare
Top Goalscorer Jenkins K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jay M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 29 / 100
Torquay 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Torquay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torquay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Attacking prowess: Tonbridge scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Tonbridge went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Torquay
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1 Dulwich Hamlet
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1 Dulwich Hamlet
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2 Sittingbourne
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Sutton
Page 1 of 4
Torquay
(Away) 18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
08 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0 Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
18 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 2 Torquay
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0 Torquay
09 May
Hornchurch
3 : 2 Torquay
25 Apr
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Red. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 7 |
| 3 | Tonbridge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Farnborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 5 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Horsham FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 7 | Torquay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 8 | Salisbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 9 | Folkestone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Maidstone | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorking Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 12 | Truro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 15 | Billericay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 16 | Dover Ath. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Farnham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 18 | Braintree | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 19 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 20 | Ebbsfleet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Slough Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
