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Tonbridge vs Truro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Harvey T.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Harvey T.

AI Match Summary

Truro in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Truro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tonbridge
15%
Draws
46%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Truro have won more games recently than Tonbridge.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 13%
Truro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonbridge Truro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.83 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Truro
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Truro
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Tonbridge
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Truro
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 National League South
Truro vs Tonbridge
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 35 / 100
Truro 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonbridge Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonbridge's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tonbridge remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Truro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Truro
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

(Home)
31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0
Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3
Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)
03 Nov
Truro
1 : 0
West Brom U21
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Truro
3 : 1
Slough Town
24 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 4
Truro
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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