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Tonbridge vs Worthing FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Korboa R.

AI Match Summary

Tonbridge host Worthing FC in the National League South 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tonbridge have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Worthing FC's 2.63 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Worthing FC slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.94) point toward Worthing FC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tonbridge
44%
Draws
20%
Worthing FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Worthing FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tonbridge.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonbridge Worthing FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Worthing FC
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy
Tonbridge vs Worthing FC
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 National League South
Worthing FC vs Tonbridge
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Worthing FC
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 National League South
Worthing FC vs Tonbridge
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Korboa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Worthing FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 34 / 100
Worthing FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonbridge Worthing FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonbridge scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Worthing FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tonbridge went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Worthing FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Worthing FC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036