Sport Picks
Tondela U19 vs Leiria U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
43'
43'
Cipriano S.
43'
43'
Cipriano S.
53'
53'
Pimentel F.
AI Match Summary
Tondela U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tondela U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tondela U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leiria U19 have won more games recently than Tondela U19.
- Tondela U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tondela U19 | Leiria U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.34 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Leiria U19
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Tondela U19
1:1
Apr 25, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Tondela U19
0:0
Feb 25, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Leiria U19
4:0
Jan 11, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Tondela U19
0:8
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tondela U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Pimentel F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferreira R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67
Leiria U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Naumenko M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tondela U19 84 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tondela U19 Leiria U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tondela U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leiria U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Leiria U19's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Tondela U19's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Tondela U19 VS Leiria U19
0.8 Goals Scored 1.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.88
60% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tondela U19
(Home) 25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1 Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1 Belenenses U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
28 Feb
Tondela U19
3 : 1 Torreense U19
07 Feb
Tondela U19
1 : 0 Alverca U19
31 Jan
Tondela U19
2 : 0 Mafra U19
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Leiria U19
(Away) 19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1 Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1 Leiria U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
10 May
Benfica U19
5 : 2 Leiria U19
28 Mar
Santa Clara U19
1 : 2 Leiria U19
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
