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Tondela U19 vs Torreense U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Rua J. F.
90'
Mesquita B.

AI Match Summary

Tondela U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tondela U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tondela U19
15%
Draws
51%
Torreense U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torreense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tondela U19 haven't matched Torreense U19's recent run of results.
  • Tondela U19 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Torreense U19 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela U19 Torreense U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Torreense U19
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Torreense U19
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19
2:1
May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tondela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rua J. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Torreense U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela U19 36 / 100
Torreense U19 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela U19 Torreense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense U19 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Torreense U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tondela U19 scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tondela U19 VS Torreense U19
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6

Torreense U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3
Torreense U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)