Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Rodrigues C.
29'
29'
Sub
Roni In: Galletto T.
Out: Roni
31'
31'
Galletto T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Tondela and AFS finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tondela carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on AFS taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tondela Clean Sheet 19%
AFS Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tondela | AFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Portugal
Tondela vs AFS
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Tondela
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
AFS vs Tondela
0:0
May 19, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
AFS vs Tondela
0:1
Jan 14, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs AFS
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tondela 28 / 100
AFS 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tondela AFS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tondela scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: AFS conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Tondela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tondela VS AFS
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tondela
(Home) 16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
08 Aug
Tondela
2 : 1 Amarante FC
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1 Tondela
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2 Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Tondela
2 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2 Beira Mar
22 Jul
Tondela
2 : 1 Academica
19 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1 Nacional
Page 1 of 4
AFS
(Away) 17 Aug
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1 AFS
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1 Sporting CP B
31 Jul
AFS
1 : 1 Trofense
29 Jul
AFS
3 : 0 SC Vianense
25 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2 AFS
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1 AFS
25 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2 AFS
18 Jul
Moreirense
2 : 2 AFS
14 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0 AFS
16 May
Moreirense
0 : 0 AFS
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
