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Tondela vs Beira Mar Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tondela
20%
Draws
29%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tondela haven't matched Beira Mar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tondela a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tondela Clean Sheet 18%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela Beira Mar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Tondela vs Beira Mar
1:2
Sep 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Beira Mar vs Tondela
1:5
May 2, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Beira Mar vs Tondela
1:1
Dec 14, 2014 Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs Beira Mar
1:0
Mar 30, 2014 Liga Portugal 2
Beira Mar vs Tondela
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela 85 / 100
Beira Mar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tondela scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Beira Mar conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tondela has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tondela VS Beira Mar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela

(Home)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
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Beira Mar

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
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