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Tondela vs Esmoriz Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011
Tondela Logo

Tondela

3 - 0
FT
Esmoriz Logo

Esmoriz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tondela in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tondela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tondela
15%
Draws
34%
Esmoriz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tondela have won more games recently than Esmoriz.
  • Tondela are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tondela Clean Sheet 20%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela Esmoriz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tondela vs Esmoriz
3:0
Dec 8, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
Esmoriz vs Tondela
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela 67 / 100
Esmoriz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela Esmoriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esmoriz has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Tondela's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Tondela has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tondela VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela

(Home)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
Page 1 of 7

Esmoriz

(Away)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padroense 30 16 8 6 44:29 56
2 Boavista 30 16 8 6 46:25 56
3 Tondela 30 16 7 7 46:28 55
4 Gondomar 30 13 11 6 42:26 50
5 Sertanense 30 14 7 9 29:25 49
6 GD Tourizense 30 13 6 11 48:32 45
7 SC Espinho 30 11 10 9 33:26 43
8 Coimbroes 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
9 Esmoriz 30 9 11 10 31:38 38
10 Anadia 30 10 7 13 32:40 37
11 Aliados Lordelo 30 9 10 11 28:34 37
12 SC Pombal 30 10 6 14 35:48 36
13 FC Pampilhosa 30 10 6 14 31:39 36
14 Uniao Da Serra 30 8 10 12 33:36 34
15 FC Cesarense 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
16 Electrico FC 30 2 7 21 19:56 13
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 (Main)