Sport Picks
Tondela vs FC Felgueiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela 
AI Match Summary
Tondela host FC Felgueiras in the Liga Portugal 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Tondela at 1.21 goals for, 1.31 against; FC Felgueiras at 0.96 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Tondela slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Tondela. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tondela carry the better recent record into this one.
- Tondela are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tondela | FC Felgueiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tondela found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
FC Felgueiras has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Tondela went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tondela
(Home)FC Felgueiras
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | AFS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
