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Tondela vs FC Porto B Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lima B.
29' Event
van der Heide A.
Assist: Felix H.
35'
Silva T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Tondela and FC Porto B finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tondela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tondela
15%
Draws
26%
FC Porto B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tondela haven't matched FC Porto B's recent run of results.
  • Tondela are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tondela Clean Sheet 68%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela FC Porto B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs FC Porto B
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Tondela
2:2
Aug 19, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs FC Porto B
2:2
Jan 21, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs FC Porto B
0:0
Aug 13, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Tondela
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tondela Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Heide A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Porto B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela 95 / 100
FC Porto B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela FC Porto B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tondela scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: FC Porto B conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Tondela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tondela VS FC Porto B
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela

(Home)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
Page 1 of 6

FC Porto B

(Away)
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2
Vizela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3
Penafiel
24 Aug
Feirense
0 : 1
FC Porto B
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3
SC Farense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
6 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
7 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
9 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
10 SC Farense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)