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Tonga U17 vs Tahiti U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
13' Event
24' Event

AI Match Summary

Tahiti U17 in this OFC Championship U17 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-13 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tahiti U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Tonga U17
15%
Draws
68%
Tahiti U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Tonga U17 haven't matched Tahiti U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tahiti U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U17 2015 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tahiti U17 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tonga U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonga U17 Tahiti U17
Matches Played 14 19
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.79 3.53
Goals Conceded 7.43 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2023 OFC Championship U16
Tahiti U17 vs Tonga U17
5:0
Jan 18, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Tonga U17 vs Tahiti U17
0:13
Jan 9, 2011 OFC Championship U16
Tonga U17 vs Tahiti U17
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonga U17 10 / 100
Tahiti U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonga U17 Tahiti U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tonga U17 scored in 43% of their last 14 outings.

Defensive concern: Tahiti U17 conceded in 47% of 19 recent games.

Tonga U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonga U17 VS Tahiti U17
0.38 Goals Scored 4.38
5.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonga U17

(Home)
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 3
Fiji U17
15 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 6
Samoa U17
20 Jan
Tonga U17
2 : 0
American Samoa U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 13
Tahiti U17
Page 1 of 3

Tahiti U17

(Away)
28 Jan
Tahiti U17
3 : 0
Fiji U17
25 Jan
New Caledonia U17
2 : 1
Tahiti U17
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
14 Jan
Tahiti U17
6 : 0
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 5 5 0 0 29:5 15
2 New Caledonia U17 5 4 0 1 22:8 12
3 Papua New Guinea U17 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
4 Fiji U17 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
5 Samoa U17 5 1 0 4 7:22 3
6 Cook Islands U17 5 0 0 5 2:27 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 4 4 0 0 29:0 12
2 Vanuatu U17 4 3 0 1 24:3 9
3 Solomon Islands U17 4 2 0 2 24:6 6
4 Tonga U17 4 1 0 3 3:32 3
5 American Samoa U17 4 0 0 4 0:39 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)