Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Vanuatu in this Pacific Games 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-14 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Vanuatu lately — more wins on the board than Tonga.
- Model gives Vanuatu a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Pacific Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- Vanuatu have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonga | Vanuatu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 5 | 20 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 23 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.77 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
Vanuatu has conceded goals in 70% of their last 40 outings.
Attacking prowess: Tonga scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Tonga went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tonga
(Home)Vanuatu
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand U23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Papua New Guinea | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Vanuatu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Samoa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:22 | 3 |
| 5 | Tonga | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:37 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Fiji | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Tahiti | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Solomon Islands | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 7 |
| 5 | American Samoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:36 | 1 |
| 6 | Tuvalu | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:42 | 1 |