Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Tonota host Police XI in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Tonota have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded recently, against Police XI's 0.62 scored and 0.69 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.08 - 0.69) back Tonota to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tonota haven't matched Police XI's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonota | Police XI |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 11 |
| Losses | 0 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tonota found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (5 games).
Tonota went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Police XI let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.
Police XI's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tonota
(Home)Police XI
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 4 | Nico United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Tafic FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Extension Gunners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Enesia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 8 | Township Rollers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 9 | BDF XI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Gaborone Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Matebele | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 16 | Prisons XI Gaborone | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | 0 |