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Toowong City vs Brisbane Knights

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toowong City play Brisbane Knights in the Brisbane Premier League. Toowong City are favorites here. Recently, Toowong City averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Brisbane Knights averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. In past meetings, Toowong City won 4, Brisbane Knights won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 18, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Toowong City and 1.25 for Brisbane Knights. This points to a Toowong City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Toowong City
16%
Draws
26%
Brisbane Knights
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Toowong City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Toowong City picked up more points recently compared to Brisbane Knights.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Toowong City Clean Sheet 19%
Brisbane Knights Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toowong City Brisbane Knights
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.19 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Toowong City vs Brisbane Knights
2:1
Jul 27, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City
0:2
Sep 27, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Toowong City vs Brisbane Knights
2:0
Apr 17, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City
0:0
Jul 19, 2019 Brisbane Premier League
Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toowong City Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanley B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader See A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Brisbane Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Ncube T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toowong City 56 / 100
Brisbane Knights 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toowong City Brisbane Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toowong City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Toowong City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toowong City attacking → ← attacking Brisbane Knights

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toowong City scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Brisbane Knights let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Toowong City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brisbane Knights lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 29
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414