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TOP Oss vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOP Oss host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Helmond Sport have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while TOP Oss have conceded 2 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, TOP Oss have won 1 to Helmond Sport's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring TOP Oss. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
42%
Helmond Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TOP Oss come out ahead of Helmond Sport on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 13%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Helmond Sport
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.39 0.96
Goals Conceded 2 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs TOP Oss
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Helmond Sport
0:3
Feb 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Helmond Sport
1:1
Sep 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs TOP Oss
1:0
Mar 15, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Helmond Sport
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 31 / 100
Helmond Sport 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Helmond Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Helmond Sport conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Helmond Sport lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Helmond Sport
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Helmond Sport

(Away)
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 8 7 0 1 26:10 21
2 Almere City 8 5 1 2 18:7 16
3 Maastricht 8 5 1 2 12:15 16
4 Venlo 8 5 0 3 21:14 15
5 Roda 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
6 FC Emmen 8 5 0 3 18:17 15
7 Waalwijk 8 3 4 1 18:11 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 NAC Breda 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 8 4 0 4 20:16 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
14 Helmond Sport 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
17 Dordrecht 8 2 1 5 12:23 7
18 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 9:20 7
19 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
20 TOP Oss 8 2 0 6 8:13 6
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)