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TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOP Oss host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: TOP Oss at 1.59 goals for, 1.93 against; Jong Ajax at 1.24 for, 2.1 against. Past meetings favor TOP Oss slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.50) point toward TOP Oss. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
26%
Jong Ajax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • TOP Oss have won more games recently than Jong Ajax.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on TOP Oss taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Jong Ajax
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs TOP Oss
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax
1:1
May 9, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs TOP Oss
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax
2:1
Feb 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 84 / 100
Jong Ajax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Jong Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jong Ajax let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

TOP Oss has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Jong Ajax
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

Jong Ajax

(Away)
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)