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TOP Oss vs Jong AZ Alkmaar

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOP Oss in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOP Oss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
57%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar have won more games recently than TOP Oss.
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Jong AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.12
Goals Conceded 2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:3
Nov 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs TOP Oss
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
TOP Oss vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Mar 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs TOP Oss
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 26 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Jong AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong AZ Alkmaar let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: TOP Oss scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Jong AZ Alkmaar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0
TOP Oss
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
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Jong AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2
Maastricht
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5
Jong AZ Alkmaar
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Eindhoven FC
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