Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TOP Oss vs Jong Utrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Esajas M.
Assist: Erkan M.
17'
Nsingi F.
25'
Plantinga V.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between TOP Oss and Jong Utrecht finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOP Oss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
46%
Jong Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TOP Oss come out ahead of Jong Utrecht on wins alone.
  • TOP Oss are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Jong Utrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Utrecht
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs TOP Oss
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs TOP Oss
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Club Friendly
TOP Oss vs Jong Utrecht
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Esajas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Lannoy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Jong Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Hunte J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 56 / 100
Jong Utrecht 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Jong Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Utrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

TOP Oss has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Jong Utrecht
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

Jong Utrecht

(Away)
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 7 6 0 1 24:10 18
2 Almere City 7 5 1 1 16:4 16
3 Venlo 7 5 0 2 19:11 15
4 Waalwijk 7 3 4 0 18:9 13
5 Vitesse 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
6 Maastricht 7 4 1 2 10:15 13
7 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
8 Roda 7 3 3 1 7:5 12
9 FC Emmen 7 4 0 3 17:17 12
10 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
11 NAC Breda 7 3 1 3 13:15 10
12 Eindhoven FC 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
13 FC Volendam 7 3 0 4 17:14 9
14 Helmond Sport 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
17 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
18 TOP Oss 7 2 0 5 8:12 6
19 Dordrecht 7 1 1 5 9:21 4
20 De Graafschap 7 1 1 5 8:20 4
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)