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TOP Oss vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOP Oss host Roda in the Eerste Divisie. This one's hard to separate. TOP Oss have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Roda's 1.5 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, TOP Oss have won 1 to Roda's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Roda. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
TOP Oss
20%
Draws
56%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Roda lately — more wins on the board than TOP Oss.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 17%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Roda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs TOP Oss
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Roda
1:2
Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Roda
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs TOP Oss
0:0
Apr 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Roda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 31 / 100
Roda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: TOP Oss remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Roda
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
06 Nov
TOP Oss
1 : 1
Waalwijk
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0
TOP Oss
28 Oct
Zwolle
1 : 2
TOP Oss
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
06 Nov
Heracles
5 : 1
Roda
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0
De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3
Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)