Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TOP Oss vs Waalwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOP Oss host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Waalwijk have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while TOP Oss have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Waalwijk slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward Waalwijk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TOP Oss
30%
Draws
23%
Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Waalwijk's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what TOP Oss have produced (1.72).
  • TOP Oss are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Waalwijk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 13%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Waalwijk
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 14
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs TOP Oss
2:0
Nov 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Waalwijk
0:0
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Waalwijk vs TOP Oss
5:3
Jul 16, 2019 Club Friendly
TOP Oss vs Waalwijk
0:1
Jan 13, 2019 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Waalwijk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 66 / 100
Waalwijk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Waalwijk let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

TOP Oss has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Waalwijk
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
28 Oct
Zwolle
1 : 2
TOP Oss
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
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Waalwijk

(Away)
30 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 2
Almere City
27 Oct
Barendrecht
2 : 3
Waalwijk
23 Oct
De Graafschap
1 : 1
Waalwijk
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Volendam
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 12 9 2 1 37:14 29
2 Venlo 12 8 1 3 34:20 25
3 FC Emmen 12 8 1 3 26:19 25
4 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
5 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
6 NAC Breda 12 6 3 3 23:20 21
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Vitesse 12 5 2 5 16:17 17
9 Maastricht 12 5 2 5 16:27 17
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Jong PSV 12 4 4 4 17:19 16
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Den Bosch 12 4 3 5 18:21 15
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 12 4 1 7 19:20 13
16 Jong Ajax 12 3 3 6 18:29 12
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Dordrecht 12 3 2 7 16:31 11
19 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
20 Jong Utrecht 12 2 1 9 19:31 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)