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Topolcany vs Nove Zamky

Slovakia Slovakia

Divison C West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Topolcany play Nove Zamky in the Divison C West 2017/2018. Nove Zamky are favorites here. Recently, Topolcany averaged 0.72 goals scored and 4.24 conceded. Nove Zamky averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Topolcany won 2, Nove Zamky won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2018 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Topolcany and 1.18 for Nove Zamky. This points to a Nove Zamky double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Topolcany
15%
Draws
73%
Nove Zamky
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nove Zamky

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Topolcany picked up more points recently compared to Nove Zamky.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Topolcany Clean Sheet 20%
Nove Zamky Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Topolcany Nove Zamky
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 2 21
Draws 0 4
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 0.72 1.7
Goals Conceded 4.24 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 4. liga - West
Topolcany vs Nove Zamky
0:5
Oct 28, 2017 4. liga - West
Nove Zamky vs Topolcany
4:0
Mar 4, 2017 4. liga - West
Nove Zamky vs Topolcany
3:0
Aug 17, 2016 4. liga - West
Topolcany vs Nove Zamky
2:1
Jun 12, 2016 4. liga - West
Nove Zamky vs Topolcany
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Topolcany 15 / 100
Nove Zamky 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Topolcany Nove Zamky

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nove Zamky Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nove Zamky & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Topolcany attacking → ← attacking Nove Zamky

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Topolcany scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Nove Zamky let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Topolcany went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nove Zamky lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 67
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dubnica34275283:1086
2Borcice34225778:3571
3Nove Zamky34225758:3171
4Crystal342131061:3366
5Galanta341581158:4253
6Dun. Streda B341571251:3852
7Z. Moravce-Vrable B3414101060:5352
8Spartak Trnava B341621659:4650
9MSK Puchov341461468:4948
10Nitra B341461457:4748
11Velke Ludince341451550:5747
12Gabcikovo341371455:4746
13Sala341431749:6545
14Nemsova341331846:5942
15Belusa341081650:6238
16Banik Prievidza34742336:7525
17Banovce nad Bebravou34552423:9020
18Topolcany34403025:12812
19AFC Nove Mesto00000:00