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Topolite vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2020/2021 game between Topolite and Chernolomets finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Topolite
15%
Draws
69%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Chernolomets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chernolomets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chernolomets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Topolite Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Topolite Chernolomets
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.97 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2021 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Chernolomets
1:4
Oct 25, 2020 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Topolite
3:0
Mar 7, 2020 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Chernolomets
0:0
Sep 15, 2019 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Topolite
3:0
Apr 27, 2011 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Topolite
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Topolite 10 / 100
Chernolomets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Topolite Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Topolite scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Chernolomets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Topolite remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chernolomets
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Topolite

(Home)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
Page 1 of 6

Chernolomets

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
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