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Torina vs Castro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Torina Logo

Torina

0 - 0
FT
Castro Logo

Castro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Torina and Castro finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Torina
35%
Draws
23%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torina come out ahead of Castro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Torina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Torina Clean Sheet 68%
Castro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torina Castro
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Castro
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Torina
1:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Castro
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Torina
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Castro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torina 95 / 100
Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torina Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Torina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Torina's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Castro let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Torina VS Castro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torina

(Home)
20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
Page 1 of 6

Castro

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)