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Torino vs Monza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torino host Monza in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monza have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Torino have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Torino slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Torino to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Torino
20%
Draws
29%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torino come out ahead of Monza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Torino's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Torino Clean Sheet 68%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torino Monza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Coppa Italia
Torino vs Monza
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A
Monza vs Torino
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie A
Torino vs Monza
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Serie A
Torino vs Monza
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Torino
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torino 50 / 100
Monza 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torino Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torino scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Monza let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Torino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torino VS Monza
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torino

(Home)
12 Oct
Torino
2 : 1
Udinese
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 6

Monza

(Away)
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
6 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
7 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
8 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
9 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)