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Stadium Background

Torino vs Parma

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Simeone G.
11'
Sub
Cremaschi B. In: Britschgi S.
Out: Cremaschi B.
20' Event
Pellegrino M.
Assist: Strefezza G.

AI Match Summary

Torino in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Torino
20%
Draws
32%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torino lately — more wins on the board than Parma.
  • Win probability leans Torino's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Torino Clean Sheet 68%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torino Parma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.34 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Serie A
Torino vs Parma
4:1
Sep 29, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Torino
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Torino
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Serie A
Torino vs Parma
0:0
May 3, 2021 Serie A
Torino vs Parma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torino Compare

Top Goalscorer Simeone G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilkhan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torino 59 / 100
Parma 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torino Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torino's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Parma has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Torino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torino VS Parma
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torino

(Home)
08 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Torino
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
02 Aug
Burnley
0 : 1
Torino
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1
Cittadella
22 Jul
Torino
1 : 0
Alcione Milano
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Parma

(Away)
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0
Catania
09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2
Sampdoria
02 Aug
Parma
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)