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Torlak vs Prva Iskra Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torlak host Prva Iskra in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Prva Iskra have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Torlak have conceded 1.28 and scored 2.21. Past meetings favor Torlak slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.38, favoring Torlak. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Torlak
15%
Draws
26%
Prva Iskra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torlak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torlak lately — more wins on the board than Prva Iskra.
  • Torlak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Torlak Clean Sheet 17%
Prva Iskra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torlak Prva Iskra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Prva Iskra
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Torlak
1:4
May 10, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Prva Iskra
2:3
Oct 28, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Torlak
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Torlak
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torlak 84 / 100
Prva Iskra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torlak Prva Iskra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torlak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torlak scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Prva Iskra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Torlak has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torlak VS Prva Iskra
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torlak

(Home)
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Buducnost Dobanovci
4 : 0
Torlak
29 Aug
Torlak
2 : 3
Usce
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Prva Iskra

(Away)
25 Sept
BASK
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
18 Sept
Brodarac
1 : 0
Prva Iskra
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
29 Aug
Prva Iskra
0 : 2
Zvezdara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nika Lepusnica 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 6 3 3 0 11:1 12
3 Bezanija 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Usce 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
6 BASK 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
7 Zvezdara 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
8 Brodarac 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Torlak 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Polet Dorcol 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
11 Padinska Skela 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
12 Bacevac 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
13 Jedinstvo Surcin 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
14 Prva Iskra 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)