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Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persebaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Stadion Sriwedari, Surakarta
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Match Events

45'
Fatchu Rochman M.
46'
Sub
Kurniawan D. In: Pereira M.
Out: Kurniawan D.
46'
Sub
Maulana A. In: Rivera F.
Out: Maulana A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tornado Pekanbaru
35%
Draws
20%
Persebaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Persebaya have won more games recently than Tornado Pekanbaru.
  • Win probability leans Tornado Pekanbaru's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Persebaya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tornado Pekanbaru, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 20%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornado Pekanbaru Persebaya
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 18 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 I.League Cup
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persebaya
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornado Pekanbaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmansyah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sukarno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sananta R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Firmansyah T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornado Pekanbaru 85 / 100
Persebaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornado Pekanbaru Persebaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tornado Pekanbaru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Tornado Pekanbaru has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tornado Pekanbaru's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Persebaya has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tornado Pekanbaru VS Persebaya
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornado Pekanbaru

(Home)
03 Nov
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 2
Persebaya
29 Oct
RANS Nusantara
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
24 Oct
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 2
Deltras Sidoarjo
16 Oct
Balikpapan
0 : 3
Tornado Pekanbaru
10 Oct
Tornado Pekanbaru
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
Page 1 of 6

Persebaya

(Away)
03 Nov
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 2
Persebaya
30 Oct
Persebaya
1 : 1
Persijap Jepara
26 Oct
Persebaya
3 : 1
Madura United
22 Oct
PSM Makassar
1 : 0
Persebaya
18 Oct
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSS Sleman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSPS Riau 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Adhyaksa Bekasi 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persis Solo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Balikpapan 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)