Sport Picks

Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persela Lamongan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia

Championship

Persela Lamongan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tornado Pekanbaru host Persela Lamongan in the Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tornado Pekanbaru have averaged 1.9 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Persela Lamongan's 1.38 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Tornado Pekanbaru have won 2 to Persela Lamongan's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.00) back Tornado Pekanbaru to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Tornado Pekanbaru

35%

Draws

27%

Persela Lamongan

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Tornado Pekanbaru have won more games recently than Persela Lamongan.
Model gives Tornado Pekanbaru a 38% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Tornado Pekanbaru here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 20%

Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tornado Pekanbaru	Persela Lamongan
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	17	13
Draws	8	9
Losses	5	7
Goals Scored	1.9	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Championship

Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persela Lamongan

5:0

Nov 16, 2025 Championship

Persela Lamongan vs Tornado Pekanbaru

0:1

Sep 21, 2025 Championship

Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persela Lamongan

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornado Pekanbaru 67 / 100

Persela Lamongan 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tornado Pekanbaru Persela Lamongan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tornado Pekanbaru Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tornado Pekanbaru went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tornado Pekanbaru's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Persela Lamongan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tornado Pekanbaru VS Persela Lamongan

2.38 Goals Scored 1.63

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History