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Stadium Background

Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persipal BU

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Sriwedari, Surakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Aprianto R.
45'
Izam M.
45'
Darmawan A.

AI Match Summary

Tornado Pekanbaru in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tornado Pekanbaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tornado Pekanbaru
15%
Draws
0%
Persipal BU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tornado Pekanbaru have won more games recently than Persipal BU.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tornado Pekanbaru taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tornado Pekanbaru here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 68%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornado Pekanbaru Persipal BU
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.74 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.78 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persipal BU
4:0
Jan 19, 2026 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persipal BU
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Tornado Pekanbaru
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornado Pekanbaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragil M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Patrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Persipal BU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornado Pekanbaru 95 / 100
Persipal BU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornado Pekanbaru Persipal BU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tornado Pekanbaru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipal BU's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Persipal BU's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tornado Pekanbaru scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tornado Pekanbaru VS Persipal BU
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornado Pekanbaru

(Home)
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
19 Apr
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0
Balikpapan
04 Apr
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
Page 1 of 6

Persipal BU

(Away)
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4
Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0
Persipal BU
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)