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Toronto Awaba Stags vs Dudley Redhead United

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League game between Toronto Awaba Stags and Dudley Redhead United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dudley Redhead United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toronto Awaba Stags
40%
Draws
29%
Dudley Redhead United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dudley Redhead United come out ahead of Toronto Awaba Stags on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 10%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto Awaba Stags Dudley Redhead United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Toronto Awaba Stags
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs Dudley Redhead United
1:2
May 25, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Toronto Awaba Stags
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs Dudley Redhead United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto Awaba Stags 30 / 100
Dudley Redhead United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto Awaba Stags Dudley Redhead United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dudley Redhead United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Toronto Awaba Stags found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Toronto Awaba Stags went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto Awaba Stags VS Dudley Redhead United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lake Macquarie14101350:2031
2Wallsend Red Devils1494139:1931
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1470733:3321
5Dudley Redhead United1463521:2221
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1452721:2517
8Singleton Strikers1443715:3015
9South Cardiff14311011:2510
10Toronto Awaba Stags14311018:3610