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Toronto FC II vs FC Cincinnati 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
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Match Events

11' Event
Dawson L.
Assist: Nolan J.
26' Event
Bossenberry A.
Assist: Kapor S.
36' Event
Khodri E.
Assist: Nolan J.

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Toronto FC II
15%
Draws
21%
FC Cincinnati 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toronto FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toronto FC II lately — more wins on the board than FC Cincinnati 2.
  • Model gives Toronto FC II a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II FC Cincinnati 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.7 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Jul 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:1
May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
5:0
Aug 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bossenberry A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 56 / 100
FC Cincinnati 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II FC Cincinnati 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toronto FC II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toronto FC II scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

FC Cincinnati 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Toronto FC II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS FC Cincinnati 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC II

(Home)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Orlando City B
3 : 1
Toronto FC II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati 2

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)