Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Nolan J.
Assist: Dawson L.
44'
Sasaki S.
46'
Sub
Bank F. In: Pinnock S.
Out: Bank F.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Toronto FC II and New England Revolution II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Toronto FC II
6%
Draws
90%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Toronto FC II haven't matched New England Revolution II's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New England Revolution II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New England Revolution II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II New England Revolution II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 20
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
2:1
May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II
3:4
Mar 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 10 / 100
New England Revolution II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II New England Revolution II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Toronto FC II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

New England Revolution II has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: New England Revolution II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS New England Revolution II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC II

(Home)
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution II

(Away)
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
15 Jul
New England Revolution II
2 : 3
Columbus Crew 2
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New England Revolution II
1 : 2
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3New England Revolution II18120626:2035
4Orlando City B19120740:3335
5Chattanooga19120735:3034
6New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8CT United FC18100833:3228
9New York City II1790827:2628
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)