Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 York Lions Stadium
Sun, May 4, 2025
3 - 4
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II play New England Revolution II in the MLS Next Pro 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Toronto FC II averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. New England Revolution II averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Toronto FC II won 0, New England Revolution II won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Toronto FC II and 2.06 for New England Revolution II. This points to a New England Revolution II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Toronto FC II
11%
Draws
80%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • New England Revolution II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Toronto FC II.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for New England Revolution II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II New England Revolution II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
2:1
May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II
3:4
Mar 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojadinovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrow D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Butts L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarbian G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 10 / 100
New England Revolution II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II New England Revolution II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

New England Revolution II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Toronto FC II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

New England Revolution II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS New England Revolution II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717