Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium

Match Events

19'

Bossenberry A.

34'

Sundstrom F.

35'

Uzcategui R.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II host Philadelphia Union II in the MLS Next Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Philadelphia Union II have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Toronto FC II have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Toronto FC II slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Philadelphia Union II. Philadelphia Union II in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Toronto FC II

Draws

90%

Philadelphia Union II

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Philadelphia Union II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Toronto FC II.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Philadelphia Union II.
League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 16%

Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Toronto FC II	Philadelphia Union II
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	16
Draws	0	1
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	1.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Apr 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Feb 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Aug 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 10 / 100

Philadelphia Union II 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Toronto FC II Philadelphia Union II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Philadelphia Union II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Toronto FC II went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia Union II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Philadelphia Union II

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12