Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids

USA USA

MLS BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Travis J.
36'
Sub
Sealy D. In: Rosenberry K.
Out: Sealy D.
38'
Wells M.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Toronto FC and Colorado Rapids finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toronto FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Toronto FC
33%
Draws
40%
Colorado Rapids
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Colorado Rapids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Rapids come out ahead of Toronto FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Colorado Rapids taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 16%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC Colorado Rapids
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids
3:2
Feb 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC
2:0
Sep 26, 2021 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC
0:0
Jun 21, 2020 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Laryea R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sargent J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Colorado Rapids Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaronson P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosenberry K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 28 / 100
Colorado Rapids 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC Colorado Rapids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Colorado Rapids let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Toronto FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS Colorado Rapids
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC

(Home)
25 Jul
DC United
2 : 1
Toronto FC
22 Jul
New England Revolution
0 : 0
Toronto FC
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0
Toronto FC
24 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
Toronto FC
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Rapids

(Away)
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
Juarez
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2
FC Dallas
21 May
Colorado Rapids
2 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1875631:2426
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1838724:3217
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)