Sport Picks
Toronto FC vs DC United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS BMO Field, Toronto, ON 
AI Match Summary
Toronto FC host DC United in the MLS. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Toronto FC at 1.57 goals for, 1.86 against; DC United at 1.38 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Toronto FC have won 1 to DC United's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.63, favoring Toronto FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toronto FC have won more games recently than DC United.
- Toronto FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toronto FC | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toronto FC scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
DC United has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Toronto FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC
(Home)DC United
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | 22 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 60:70 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:51 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | 25 |
