Sport Picks

USA

MLS BMO Field

Inter Miami

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC play Inter Miami in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Toronto FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Inter Miami averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Toronto FC won 0, Inter Miami won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Toronto FC and 2.44 for Inter Miami. This points to a Inter Miami double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Toronto FC

35%

Draws

42%

Inter Miami

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Toronto FC picked up more points recently compared to Inter Miami.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%

Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Toronto FC	Inter Miami
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	19
Draws	14	8
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	1.5	2.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 MLS

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:4

Sep 27, 2025 MLS

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Apr 6, 2025 MLS

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 5, 2024 MLS

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Aug 8, 2024 Leagues Cup

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aristizabal E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer de Paul R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Suarez L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 23 / 100

Inter Miami 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Toronto FC Inter Miami

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inter Miami or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toronto FC attacking → ← attacking Inter Miami

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Inter Miami let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Toronto FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Inter Miami lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 65

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	10	2	2	34:12	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	10	2	3	34:15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	8	2	4	26:19	26
4	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30:22	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	7	3	5	24:17	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	7	3	3	17:11	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	7	1	6	19:23	22
8	Minnesota United	15	6	4	5	18:22	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	5	5	5	22:22	20
10	San Diego FC	15	4	5	6	30:27	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	5	1	9	25:24	16
12	St. Louis City	14	4	4	6	16:20	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22:28	14
14	Austin FC	15	3	5	7	19:31	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14:36	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	10	3	1	31:11	33
2	Inter Miami	15	9	4	2	39:28	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27:16	26
4	New England Revolution	14	8	1	5	22:18	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	6	4	5	25:32	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	6	3	6	24:23	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	5	5	5	36:37	20
8	New York City	15	5	4	6	25:21	19
9	DC United	15	4	6	5	21:25	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21:23	16
11	CF Montreal	14	4	2	8	22:31	14
12	Orlando City	15	4	2	9	23:44	14
13	Toronto FC	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
14	Atlanta United	14	3	2	9	14:23	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	1	4	10	18:30	7