Sport Picks
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS BMO Field, Toronto, ON 
Match Events
3'
3'
Dorsch N.
Own Goal
59'
59'
Sub
Kuscevic B. In: Gomis N.
Out: Kuscevic B.
59'
59'
Sub
Morgan L. In: Corbeanu T.
Out: Morgan L.
AI Match Summary
Toronto FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nashville SC lately — more wins on the board than Toronto FC.
- Model gives Nashville SC a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nashville SC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toronto FC | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
2:0
Sep 9, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
1:0
May 24, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toronto FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Salloi D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aristizabal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Nashville SC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toronto FC 10 / 100
Nashville SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toronto FC Nashville SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toronto FC found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Nashville SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Toronto FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Toronto FC VS Nashville SC
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Toronto FC
1 : 1 New York City
19 Aug
Toronto FC
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 4
Nashville SC
(Away) 11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4 Nashville SC
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4 Nashville SC
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
19 Aug
New York Red Bulls
0 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
