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Toronto FC vs Ottawa Fury

Canada Canada

Championship 2019 BMO Field
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
DeLeon N.
Assist: Laryea R.
37' Event
Mullins P.
Assist: DeLeon N.
39' Event
DeLeon N.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2019 game between Toronto FC and Ottawa Fury finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toronto FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toronto FC
39%
Draws
30%
Ottawa Fury
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ottawa Fury come out ahead of Toronto FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Toronto FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 19%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC Ottawa Fury
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2019 Championship
Toronto FC vs Ottawa Fury
3:0
Aug 7, 2019 Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Toronto FC
0:2
Jul 25, 2018 Championship
Toronto FC vs Ottawa Fury
3:0
Jul 18, 2018 Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Toronto FC
0:1
May 31, 2017 Championship
Toronto FC vs Ottawa Fury
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Top Goalscorer DeLeon N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mullins P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ottawa Fury Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 32 / 100
Ottawa Fury 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC Ottawa Fury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ottawa Fury has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Toronto FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toronto FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HFX Wanderers3
Vaughan3
TBD-
Valour-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ottawa Fury-
Inter Toronto1
Blainville0
TBD-
Edmonton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
CF Montreal-
Cavalry4
Pacific FC1
TBD-
Forge FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps-
1/8-finals
Toronto FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HFX Wanderers4
Valour1
TBD-
Ottawa Fury-
Inter Toronto3
Edmonton2
TBD-
CF Montreal-
Cavalry3
Forge FC2
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps-
Quarter-finals
Toronto FC-
TBD-
HFX Wanderers4
Ottawa Fury5
Inter Toronto2
CF Montreal3
Cavalry2
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Semi-finals
Toronto FC5
Ottawa Fury0
CF Montreal3
Cavalry1
Final
Toronto FC1
CF Montreal2